Adds router_wall_seconds and router_ttft_seconds to energy_observations: - router_wall_seconds: time.monotonic() from just before the accepted candidate's POST/connection-open to the complete response body (buffered) or the last byte forwarded (streaming). Re-marked per candidate so failover time is excluded — a dead model's 30s stall is not charged to the healthy one that replaced it. - router_ttft_seconds: streaming-only. First delta carrying non-empty content or a tool_calls fragment, excluding the role-only opening delta. NULL on buffered rows (not applicable) and on streams that produced no output token (a broken upstream — not the same as a literal 0). Separate from duration_seconds (provider's reported serving time) on purpose: OpenRouter reports duration_seconds on 0 of 3,850 rows, while the router can always measure its own clock. The two quantities are stored independently and never written into each other. log_observation() defaults both new params to None so seed_energy.py and eval_proficiency.py pass unchanged — a reprise of 6e729ad's bug where new keyword-only arguments killed the seed timer. Also: - docs/data-model.md: document the new columns, span definitions, and the distinction from duration_seconds - config/schema.sql: full CREATE TABLE declaration - plans/token-waste-waves.md: status update for Wave 1 - plans/ten-thousand-foot-review.md: companion diagnosis
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SQLite schema reference. Back to README.
Decision Table Schema (SQLite)
Three data tables plus one observability table, PRAGMA foreign_keys = ON:
models — one row per served model variant
| Column | Type | Notes |
|---|---|---|
model_id |
TEXT | Full catalog id (e.g. glm-5.2-short-fast-flex or qwen2.5-coder-router:14b) |
provider |
TEXT | neuralwatt | ollama-local |
base_model_id |
TEXT | Model family (e.g. glm-5.2). Proficiency/leaderboard keys here. |
eligible_categories |
TEXT | Comma-joined category allowlist; NULL = unrestricted (cloud rows) |
display_name |
TEXT | Human-readable name |
cost_per_1m_prompt |
REAL | Listed USD per 1M input tokens |
cost_per_1m_completion |
REAL | Listed USD per 1M output tokens |
cost_per_1m_prompt_cached |
REAL | Cached prefix price (null if no cache discount) |
context_window |
INTEGER | Advertised max tokens |
effective_context_window |
INTEGER | advertised × safety_factor − reserve |
max_output_tokens |
INTEGER | |
tier |
INTEGER | 1–3, set by tier.py pass |
supports_tools |
INTEGER | Boolean 0/1 |
supports_json_mode |
INTEGER | |
supports_vision |
INTEGER | |
supports_reasoning |
INTEGER | "API accepts reasoning param" — NOT a quality signal |
reasoning_default_enabled |
INTEGER | The actual tier-bearing signal |
latency_class |
TEXT | standard | flex (-flex: discounted async, held during peak) |
reasoning_mode |
TEXT | default | reduced (-fast: reasoning capped) |
context_variant |
TEXT | full | short (-short: 200K pool bounded budget) |
access_level |
TEXT | public | preview | canary |
pricing_tbd |
INTEGER | |
deprecated |
INTEGER | |
availability |
TEXT | active | deprecated | stale |
last_updated |
TEXT | ISO8601 |
Serving class: Neuralwatt ships ~6 base models as 19 catalog rows. The id
suffixes are three orthogonal dimensions (glm-5.2-short-fast-flex), parsed
by poller.parse_serving_class into columns. Rows carry identical catalog
pricing, so routing would pick between them arbitrarily without these — the
latency_tolerance hard filter resolves it.
Local rows: provider='ollama-local' rows come from config.yaml's
local_dispatch_models: section and are refreshed by poller.upsert_local_dispatch_models
each poll. They start with the three cost columns NULL; once
seed_local_dispatch_energy.py has run, those columns hold measured
tariff-priced rates and re-polls never overwrite them.
Access gating: 6 of 19 rows are prose-gated
("Private preview (grant-gated)", "(Canary)"). poller.parse_access_level
parses them into access_level and routing.allowed_access_levels (default
[public]) excludes them, so dispatch won't earn a 403.
proficiency — one row per (model, provider, category)
| Column | Type | Notes |
|---|---|---|
model_id |
TEXT | |
provider |
TEXT | |
category |
TEXT | See category list below |
leaderboard_score |
REAL | 0–1, from external benchmarks |
self_eval_score |
REAL | 0–1, from self-eval harness |
outcome_score |
REAL | Accumulated client-reported success rate on real traffic (0–1) |
outcome_samples |
INTEGER | Number of client-reported succeeded/failed verifications folded in |
self_eval_samples |
INTEGER | Evidence count for benchmark blending threshold |
blended_score |
REAL | Expected pass rate on real traffic after empirical-Bayes shrinkage |
source |
TEXT | outcome_blended | outcome_prior | blended | self_eval | self_eval_thin | leaderboard |
inherited_from |
TEXT | Model this row was copied from, NULL if measured directly |
last_updated |
TEXT | ISO8601 |
Category set (9 categories, defined in config/config.yaml):
| Category | Example | Scoring type |
|---|---|---|
coding_general |
Merge intervals, parse semver, word wrap | Code (execution) |
coding_refactor |
Remove repetition, refactor dispatch chain | Code (execution) |
debugging |
Fix closure leak, fix binary search, fix regex | Code (execution) |
reasoning_math |
Percent trap, rate trap, counting | Exact match |
tool_use_agentic |
Right tool / right args / no tool when empty | Structural |
docs_writing |
Docstring quality, must-mention gotchas | Judge |
summarization |
Root-cause isolation, buried-lede identification | Judge |
translation |
Technical register, hedging/informal tone | Judge |
general_chat |
Simple explanations, measured pushback | Judge |
Scoring kinds (4 types, objective wherever the category admits it):
code— runs model-generated Python in a subprocess, scores fraction of checks passingexact— normalizes & compares a single answertool— structural: which tool was called, which args matchedjudge— a strong model scores against a rubric (prose categories only)
Blending the benchmark signal: Once self_eval_samples ≥ self_eval_min_samples (default 10): blended = 0.3 × leaderboard + 0.7 × self_eval. Before that, falls back to leaderboard alone. If neither
exists, the benchmark component is neutral.
From benchmark to expected pass rate: The files in
src/proficiency.py convert the benchmark blend into an expected client
success rate on real traffic. A category with no client outcome traffic
keeps the benchmark score verbatim. A trafficked category with no
per-model outcomes inherits a peer-rate prior. A row with its own
outcomes gets an empirical-Bayes blend of the prior and its observed
rate, with outcome_prior_strength pseudo-observations (default 20)
pulling thin data toward the category mean.
Source labels report provenance, not just confidence:
outcome_blended— per-model has real outcome evidenceoutcome_prior— category is trafficked, but this row has no own outcomesself_eval_thin— benchmark measurement below the sample threshold; a caller wanting to exclude it can
Proficiency inheritance: propagate_to_variants copies evaluated
scores to equivalent serving variants (same weights, same reasoning
setting, same context pool), but never over a row that was measured
directly. A -fast row is not equivalent to its -standard sibling.
"Measured directly" is inherited_from IS NULL, not self_eval_samples > 0
— inheritance copies the sample count too, so sample count alone cannot tell
an inherited row from a measured one, and using it meant a variant inherited
exactly once and then froze forever. ensure_columns() adds the column and
backfills provenance on databases that predate it.
energy_observations — per-request telemetry
| Column | Type | Notes |
|---|---|---|
id |
INTEGER | Autoincrement |
model_id / provider |
TEXT | |
task_category |
TEXT | |
prompt_tokens / completion_tokens |
INTEGER | |
energy_kwh |
REAL | Attributed billed figure (noisy, 20× within-model) |
energy_btu |
REAL | kwh × 3412.14, dashboard value |
avg_power_watts / duration_seconds |
REAL | Pre-attribution product, ~1.8× within-model. duration_seconds is the provider's reported serving time — see router_wall_seconds below, which is a different quantity |
attribution_ratio |
REAL | Request's share of shared GPU pool (stable quantized: 0.001, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75) |
carbon_g_co2eq |
REAL | Reported by provider |
grid_carbon_intensity |
REAL | gCO2/kWh at call time |
grid_id |
TEXT | e.g. FI |
carbon_source |
TEXT | static_fallback (constant, excluded from routing) or live measurement |
cost_usd |
REAL | Billed figure, not tokens × list price |
allowance_remaining_usd |
REAL | |
service_tier |
TEXT | As billed |
cached_prompt_tokens |
INTEGER | usage.prompt_tokens_details.cached_tokens. NULL when the provider reported no count — never a substituted 0 |
cached_tokens_source |
TEXT | Why the column above is what it is: reported (a number arrived, 0 included), details_no_count (a details block with no cached count), no_details (no details block at all). NULL only on rows written before the column |
router_wall_seconds |
REAL | Router-observed wall clock for the request, time.monotonic(). Not duration_seconds — see below |
router_ttft_seconds |
REAL | Router-observed time to the first output token. Streaming only; NULL on a buffered row means not applicable |
observed_at |
TEXT | ISO8601 |
Router-observed latency is a second quantity, not a backfill of the first.
duration_seconds is what the provider says it spent serving; the two
router_* columns are what the router measured end to end, which additionally
includes connection setup, network transit, queueing ahead of the first token,
and router overhead. They are never written into each other.
The reason for the second measurement is coverage. On the live database
duration_seconds is present on 31,243 of 31,309 NeuralWatt rows and on 0
of 3,850 OpenRouter rows, and no request-body opt-in will change that:
OpenRouter serves generation timing only from its separate
/api/v1/generation?id= endpoint, a second HTTP call per request. OpenRouter
carries ~73% of routed decisions, so a latency term in the objective needs a
number that exists for every provider. The router can always take one.
Spans, which differ by path:
| path | router_wall_seconds |
router_ttft_seconds |
|---|---|---|
streaming /v1/chat/completions |
connection open → last byte forwarded | connection open → first delta carrying content or a tool_calls fragment |
buffered /v1/chat/completions |
just before the POST → complete response body | NULL, not applicable |
POST /dispatch |
just before the SDK call → response returned | NULL, not applicable |
Three things follow from those definitions. The mark is re-taken per attempt,
so a failover records only the candidate that actually answered. A role-only
opening delta does not count as a first token — it is protocol, not answer — so
TTFT is measured against output a user could see. And if a streaming client
hangs up early the finally still records the span up to abandonment, which
understates that request's latency rather than inflating it.
NULL on rows written before the columns existed, and on seed_energy.py and
eval_proficiency.py rows, which do not pass the timings.
Attribution noise: Billed energy_kwh = avg_power_watts × duration × attribution_ratio. The attribution term looks like noise up close (8 identical
calls varied 20×), but ranks 750× between models while within-model spread is
1.8× — it's a stable per-model property reflecting serving concurrency. Routing
scores on the attributed figures with a median over all seed_reference
rows, so repeated sweeps accumulate into a median-across-time.
provider_balance_observations — per-provider prepaid pool snapshots
| Column | Type | Notes |
|---|---|---|
id |
INTEGER | Autoincrement |
provider |
TEXT | |
balance_usd |
REAL | Current prepaid pool balance |
total_credits_usd |
REAL | Lifetime credits purchased |
total_usage_usd |
REAL | Lifetime usage billed against the pool |
observed_at |
TEXT | ISO8601 |
Polled by poller.py from each provider's balance endpoint
(provider.balance_url). Used by quota_accounts() to compute per-provider
burn rate, projected runway, and stale-reading alerts.
local_energy_observations — per-call local hardware draw
| Column | Type | Notes |
|---|---|---|
id |
INTEGER | Autoincrement |
model_id |
TEXT | Local Ollama tag (e.g. mistral-nemo:12b or qwen2.5-coder-router:14b), not a cloud model |
call_type |
TEXT | Not a closed enum. Current values include classify, verify, local_vision, local_dispatch, file_summarization, diff_checking, and seed_local_dispatch. |
request_id |
TEXT | Optional; joins to POST /outcome reports the same way energy_observations.request_id does for cloud rows |
session_dir |
TEXT | Optional; used for source-less /outcome attribution |
avg_power_watts |
REAL | Averaged over the call (background nvidia-smi sampler) |
duration_seconds |
REAL | Wall-clock time for the local call |
energy_kwh |
REAL | avg_power_watts × duration_seconds / 3_600_000 |
cost_usd |
REAL | energy_kwh × tariff_usd_per_kwh; NULL if tariff not configured |
carbon_g_co2eq |
REAL | energy_kwh × 1000 × grid_intensity_g_per_kwh; NULL unless grid intensity configured |
meter |
TEXT | nvidia_smi (room for RAPL / smart plug later) |
observed_at |
TEXT | ISO8601 |
Separate table, by design. quota_burn() sums energy_kwh over all
of energy_observations against the NeuralWatt plan allowance. A separate
table makes it structurally impossible for local electricity to leak into that
number. local_energy_summary() in metrics.py queries this table exclusively,
over the same 30-day window. /metrics surfaces it as a top-level
"local_energy" key, and the admin dashboard has a distinct "Local compute"
card. The meter is off by default (local_energy: in config); config load
refuses enabled: true without a tariff_usd_per_kwh. Remote-Ollama safety:
if any Ollama base URL is non-loopback, metering skips with a log warning.
ensure_local_energy_table() in src/local_energy.py also creates the table
and index idempotently for live databases predating this schema.
verifications — response quality observations
| Column | Type | Notes |
|---|---|---|
id |
INTEGER | Autoincrement |
model_id / provider |
TEXT | |
task_category |
TEXT | Optional (prose answers may lack a category) |
kind |
TEXT | structural | local_llm | client_outcome |
verdict |
TEXT | ok | truncated | malformed | unverifiable | succeeded | failed |
detail |
TEXT | Human-readable reason |
completion_tokens |
INTEGER | Wasted answer cost, for payoff sum |
observed_at |
TEXT | ISO8601 |
applied_at |
TEXT | Set by feedback.py when folded into proficiency |
model_attributable |
INTEGER | 1 = model's fault; 0 = client caused (e.g. tight cap) |
Verifications drive the feedback loop: feedback.py reads unanswered failures,
applies a 0.0 sample per failure to proficiency, and marks them
applied_at for idempotency. unverifiable is recorded but not treated as a
failure — it means the checker had nothing to say, not that the model failed.
route_decisions — routing observability
| Column | Type | Notes |
|---|---|---|
id |
INTEGER | Autoincrement |
observed_at |
TEXT | ISO8601, UTC |
kind |
TEXT | route | dispatch | chat | passthrough | local_vision | local_dispatch_fallback |
task_category |
TEXT | |
task_tier |
INTEGER | 1–3 |
required_context_tokens |
INTEGER | |
confidence |
REAL | Classifier confidence |
classifier_ms |
INTEGER | Classification latency |
classification_source |
TEXT | classifier | override | fallback | cached |
latency_tolerance |
TEXT | interactive | batch |
candidates_considered |
INTEGER | How many survived hard filters |
selected_model |
TEXT | Null when no model was selected |
selected_provider |
TEXT | neuralwatt, local (vision fallback), or ollama-local (local dispatch) |
runner_up_models |
TEXT | JSON array of up to 3 runner-up candidates |
est_cost_usd |
REAL | Estimated cost of the selected model |
est_proficiency |
REAL | Estimated proficiency for the task category |
rejected_reason |
TEXT | Active filters when nothing was selected |
session_key |
TEXT | Hashed session fingerprint ONLY |
tools |
INTEGER | 0/1 — request carried a tools array |
images |
INTEGER | 0/1 — request carried image parts |
json_mode |
INTEGER | 0/1 — request required JSON mode |
streamed |
INTEGER | 0/1 — response was streamed |
pinch_original_tokens |
INTEGER | Estimated tokens before pruning (includes extra_fixed_tokens) |
pinch_final_tokens |
INTEGER | Estimated tokens after pruning |
request_id |
TEXT | Provider request id; joins to energy_observations.request_id |
exploration |
INTEGER | 0/1 — selected as the least-evidenced candidate for exploration |
prefix_divergence_index |
INTEGER | First message position whose bytes differ from the previous turn in this session |
prefix_tokens_after_divergence |
INTEGER | Estimated tokens at or after that position in THIS turn |
prefix_prev_message_count |
INTEGER | The previous turn's message count |
The three prefix_* columns are the prefix-stability probe
(pinch.prefix_probe, on by default). The provider bills the longest
byte-identical prefix of a prompt at the cached rate, so a divergence
early in the payload re-bills everything after it; these say how much of the
previous turn's cache this turn kept. Read them together:
prefix_divergence_index == prefix_prev_message_count is a healthy append,
and anything lower is rewritten history —
prefix_tokens_after_divergence is then what it cost.
They are NULL together when there was no previous turn to compare against
(first turn of a session, or first after a restart), which is deliberately
distinct from a measured 0 — a zero would read as total cache loss at
message 0. Hashes only, and not even those: the per-message digests that
produce these numbers live in process memory for exactly one turn and never
reach the database, so nothing here is reversible to any message. Rows written
before the columns existed are NULL and nothing may be inferred for them; the
payloads were never stored, by design.
pinch_original_tokens and pinch_final_tokens capture context-pruning
outcomes: tokens_saved = original - final, and pruned = original > final.
Both are NULL when pinch is disabled or the request predates the columns.
request_id is written back after the provider returns a completion id; it is
NULL on /route (no upstream call) until backfilled. exploration is 1 when
exploration.choose replaced the ranked winner with a least-evidenced
candidate.
Rows with kind='local_dispatch_fallback' record a degraded answer after the
cloud refused or was exhausted — they are NOT evidence that local was
competitive on merit (do not feed them into proficiency analysis). They carry
selected_provider='ollama-local'.
route_decisions stores one row per routing decision so "how is routing
performing" is answerable: which model was picked, for what category/tier,
how long classification took, and — when nothing was selected — which hard
filter shut it out. It is an observability table: nothing in routing reads it.
It stores only a hashed session fingerprint in session_key; session_dir,
prompts, and answers are deliberately excluded. A test enforces that the write
path does not store prompt or answer text. The write is gated by
logging.log_route_decisions and is best-effort: a failed write is logged
at warning and swallowed so monitoring cannot slow or fail a request.